Notocelia uddmanniana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Notocelia uddmanniana, the bramble shoot moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in Western Europe and the area surrounding the Mediterranean Sea all the way up to the Caucasus, Kazakhstan, Iran and China (Guizhou, Tibet).
The wingspan is 15–20 mm. The forewings are dilated and the costa is moderately arched. The ground colour is whitish -brownish, striated with fuscous. The costa is posteriorly dark fuscous strigulated with whitish.. The angulated edge of basal patch is darker. The central fascia is fuscous, anteriorly indistinct, ending in a large rounded-triangular dark reddish-fuscous whitish-edged dorsal spot. There is an oblique fuscous fascia before the apex, hardly reaching the costa. The extreme apex is dark reddish-fuscous. The hindwings are grey. The larva is dull reddish-brown; head and plate of 2 black.
The moth flies from late June to late July in western Europe. The larvae feed on various Rubus species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 6 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Bramble Shoot Moth sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bramble Shoot Moth in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Bramble Shoot Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
4th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Bramble Shoot Moth sightings, Manchester ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%) and London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Bramble Shoot Moth that you can see in Manchester (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Common Yellow Conch (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bramble Shoot Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
