Hedya nubiferana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Hedya nubiferana, the marbled orchard tortrix or green budworm moth, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic and Nearctic realms. The wingspan is 15–21 mm. The forewing ground colour is grey-brown.There is a square, basal black spot, and just distal to this a more or less clear, light-grey cross-band. At the wing tip there is a wide, snow-white cross-band (similar to the white uric acid in bird excrement). The hindwings are thinly shelled, light grey-brown with brown veins.
The moth flies from May to August.[1] The larvae feed on hawthorn (Crataegus species) and blackthorn (Prunus spinosa). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 6 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 7 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 8 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 9 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 421st most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Green Budworm Moth in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Green Budworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
9th of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Green Budworm Moth sightings, Manchester ranks 9th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Amsterdam (Netherlands, about 10%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Green Budworm Moth that you can see in Manchester (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Common Yellow Conch (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Green Budworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
