Xestia baja
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Xestia baja, the dotted clay, is a species of moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe, Turkey, northern Iran, Transcaucasia, the Caucasus, central Asia, Siberia, Mongolia, Tibet, China, Korea and Japan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Clay sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 320th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Clay in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Dotted Clay sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
2nd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Dotted Clay sightings, Manchester ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Helsinki (Finland, about 10%).
Same genus: Xestia
The closest relatives of the Dotted Clay that you can see in Manchester (genus Xestia) are Square-Spot Rustic (about 20%), Double Square-Spot (about 10%) and Setaceous Hebrew Character (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dotted Clay is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
