Panorpa germanica
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Panorpa germanica, also known by its common name German scorpionfly, is a species from the genus Panorpa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Sofia | 🇧🇬 Bulgaria | |
| 3 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 5 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 9 | Cologne | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 10 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a German Scorpionfly sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 301st most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a German Scorpionfly in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most German Scorpionfly sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate German Scorpionfly sightings, Manchester ranks 10th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Essen (Germany, about 10%), Sofia (Bulgaria, about 10%) and Leeds (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the German Scorpionfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
