What are the chances of seeing a Thoracolopha nycteris in Melbourne?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thoracolopha nycteris sighting in Melbourne on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 748th most-seen of the 875 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thoracolopha nycteris in Melbourne?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thoracolopha nycteris in Melbourne on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Thoracolopha nycteris?
Only Melbourne, in our data
Melbourne is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Thoracolopha nycteris sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Thoracolopha nycteris live in Melbourne?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Thoracolopha nycteris that you can see in Melbourne (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Bogong Moth (about 20%), Australian Grapevine Moth (about 10%) and Brown Cutworm (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Thoracolopha nycteris sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thoracolopha nycteris is recorded against all the insects logged in Melbourne (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.