Erinnyis alope
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Erinnyis alope, the Alope sphinx, is a moth of the family Sphingidae. It lives from the northern part of South America, through Central America, up to Northern Mexico and the very south of the United States, although strays have been recorded as far north as Arkansas and Kansas. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yasuní National Park | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 2 | Tambopata National Reserve | 🇵🇪 Peru |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Luís | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | Miami | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Orlando | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 6 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Alope Sphinx sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 303rd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Alope Sphinx in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in January to November, the lowest months. That is one of Mexico City's driest months, with about 5 mm of rain against 150 mm in July.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Alope Sphinx sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
4th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Alope Sphinx sightings, Mexico City ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in São Luís (Brazil, about 10%), Miami (United States, under 5%) and Orlando (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Alope Sphinx is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (15 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
