Cycloneda emarginata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reserva de la Biosfera Mariposa Monarca | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 2 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | León | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Curitiba | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Bogota | 🇨🇴 Colombia | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 390 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 29th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July to October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cycloneda emarginata in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in February, May and December, the lowest months. Those are among Mexico City's wettest months, with about 130 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cycloneda emarginata sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 11
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Cycloneda emarginata sightings, Mexico City ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Quito (Ecuador, about 20%) and Toluca (México, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cycloneda emarginata is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (390 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
