Oarisma minima
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Orlando | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 9 | Miami | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Skipperling sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 52 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 145th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Skipperling in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in September and November–July, the lowest months. Those are among Mexico City's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Southern Skipperling sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Southern Skipperling sightings, Mexico City ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Puebla (México, about 10%) and San Antonio (United States, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Skipperling is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (52 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
