Phyllocnistis populiella
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Phyllocnistis populiella, the common aspen leaf miner or aspen serpentine leafminer, is a moth of the family Gracillariidae. It is found in northern North America, including Alberta, Massachusetts, Ontario and Alaska. The larvae feed on Populus tremuloides and balsam poplar.
Insects of Alberta Bug Guide Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denali National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Kluane National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 3 | Isle Royale National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Jasper National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 5 | Banff National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 6 | Cape Breton Highlands National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 7 | Elk Island National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Glacier National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Aspen Serpentine Leafminer Moth sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 320th most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Aspen Serpentine Leafminer Moth in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Aspen Serpentine Leafminer Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Aspen Serpentine Leafminer Moth sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Calgary (Canada, under 5%) and Edmonton (Canada, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Aspen Serpentine Leafminer Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
