What are the chances of seeing a Black Horse Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black Horse Fly sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 260th most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black Horse Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black Horse Fly in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–May, the lowest months. Those are among Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 120 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
What time of day is best to see a Black Horse Fly?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Black Horse Fly sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Minneapolis [Saint Paul] the best place to see a Black Horse Fly?
Among the best
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Black Horse Fly sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Black Horse Fly live in Minneapolis [Saint Paul]?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Black Horse Fly that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (order Diptera, Flies) are Margined Calligrapher (about 20%), Narrow-Headed Marsh Fly (about 20%) and Eastern Calligrapher (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Black Horse Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black Horse Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.