Nacerdes carniolica
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica sighting in Munich on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 254th most-seen of the 521 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica in Munich on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months. Those are among Munich's wettest months, with about 140 mm of rain a month against 60 mm in February.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Nacerdes carniolica sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
5th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Nacerdes carniolica sightings, Munich ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Essen (Germany, about 10%), Cologne (Germany, under 5%) and Vienna (Austria, under 5%).
Same family: Oedemeridae
The closest relatives of the Nacerdes carniolica that you can see in Munich (family Oedemeridae, False Blister Beetles) are Oedemera femorata (about 10%) and Oedemera podagrariae (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nacerdes carniolica is recorded against all the insects logged in Munich (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
