Kaniska canace
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Kaniska canace, the blue admiral, is a nymphalid butterfly, the only species of the genus Kaniska. It is found in south and southeast Asia. The upperside of forewings and hindwings is black, while the underside is black and brown. Also the body is completely black. Forewings have a blue band at the wavy outer edge, a blue or white spot at the wing... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Periyar National Park | 🇮🇳 India | |
| 2 | Kinabalu Park | 🇲🇾 Malaysia | |
| 3 | Taroko National Park | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | |
| 4 | Doi Inthanon National Park | 🇹🇭 Thailand |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Admiral sighting in Osaka on a given day, based on 42 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 72nd most-seen of the 352 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Admiral in Osaka on a given day, against under 5% in May, July and December–February, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blue Admiral sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
13th of 20
Of the 20 cities where we can rate Blue Admiral sightings, Osaka ranks 13th at about 10%. The best odds are in Nanjing (China, about 20%), Nagoya (Japan, about 20%) and Naha (Japan, about 20%).
Same genus: Vanessa
The closest relatives of the Blue Admiral that you can see in Osaka (genus Vanessa, Ladies and Related Admirals) are Painted Lady (about 10%) and Indian Red Admiral (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blue Admiral is recorded against all the insects logged in Osaka (42 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
