Nacerdes carniolica
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica sighting in Paris on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 592nd most-seen of the 916 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica in Paris on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Nacerdes carniolica sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
7th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Nacerdes carniolica sightings, Paris ranks 7th at under 5%. The best odds are in Essen (Germany, about 10%), Cologne (Germany, under 5%) and Vienna (Austria, under 5%).
Same family: Oedemeridae
The closest relatives of the Nacerdes carniolica that you can see in Paris (family Oedemeridae, False Blister Beetles) are Thick-Legged Flower Beetle (about 20%) and Oedemera podagrariae (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nacerdes carniolica is recorded against all the insects logged in Paris (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
