Mythimna sicula
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Mythimna sicula is a species of moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found from Morocco to Libya, central and southern Europe, Turkey, Israel, Iran and Turkmenistan. Adults are on wing year round. There are multiple generations per year.
The larvae feed on various Gramineae species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula sighting in Porto on a given day, based on 35 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 194th most-seen of the 498 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March–May and July–October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula in Porto on a given day, against under 5% in June and November–February, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mythimna sicula sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Only Porto, in our data
Porto is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Mythimna sicula sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same genus: Mythimna
The closest relatives of the Mythimna sicula that you can see in Porto (genus Mythimna) are Armyworm Moth (about 20%), The Delicate (about 10%) and Mythimna riparia (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mythimna sicula is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto (35 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
