What are the chances of seeing a Black-Spot Chestnut in Prague?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Spot Chestnut sighting in Prague on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 306th most-seen of the 724 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-Spot Chestnut in Prague?
January–March and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Spot Chestnut in Prague on a given day, against under 5% in April–October and December, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Black-Spot Chestnut?
Between 2 and 5 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Black-Spot Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Prague the best place to see a Black-Spot Chestnut?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Black-Spot Chestnut sightings, Prague has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Berlin (Germany, under 5%) and Vienna (Austria, under 5%).
Where does the Black-Spot Chestnut sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Spot Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Prague (17 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.