Conistra rubiginea
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Conistra rubiginea, the dotted chestnut, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Michael Denis and Ignaz Schiffermüller in 1775. It is distributed in Europe and, according to William Warren, Armenia and Asia Minor. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Chestnut sighting in Prague on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 594th most-seen of the 724 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Chestnut in Prague on a given day, against under 5% in April to February, the lowest months.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Dotted Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Dotted Chestnut sightings, Prague has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come London (United Kingdom, under 5%) and Vienna (Austria, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dotted Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Prague (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
