Vanessa carye
In 3 days ~60% in a week ~90%
Vanessa carye, the western painted lady, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in South America, from the mountains of Colombia and west of Caracas (Venezuela) through Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Chile, southern Brazil, and Paraguay to Patagonia in Argentina. It is also found on Easter Island and Tuamotus.
The larvae feed on Achyrocline flaccida and many other species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauca National Park | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 2 | Península Valdés | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | Nahuel Huapi National Park | 🇦🇷 Argentina |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Paz | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 2 | Cochabamba | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 3 | Quito | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | |
| 4 | Arequipa | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 5 | Santiago | 🇨🇱 Chile | |
| 6 | Mendoza | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 7 | Rosario | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 8 | Lima | 🇵🇪 Peru | |
| 9 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 10 | Montevideo | 🇺🇾 Uruguay |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady sighting in Rosario on a given day, based on 25 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 11th most-seen of the 82 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 60%, and over a week to about 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to September
In those months about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Subtropical Lady in Rosario on a given day, against under 5% in January–March and May, the lowest months. Those are among Rosario's driest months, with about 35 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in March.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Subtropical Lady sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
7th of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Subtropical Lady sightings, Rosario ranks 7th at about 20%. The best odds are in La Paz (Bolivia, about 80%), Cochabamba (Bolivia, about 60%) and Quito (Ecuador, about 50%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Subtropical Lady is recorded against all the insects logged in Rosario (25 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
