What are the chances of seeing a Thecla badaca in São Paulo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla badaca sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 425th most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thecla badaca in São Paulo?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla badaca in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months. That is one of São Paulo's driest months, with about 35 mm of rain against 230 mm in January.
Is São Paulo the best place to see a Thecla badaca?
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Thecla badaca sightings, São Paulo ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Curitiba (Brazil, about 10%).
Where does the Thecla badaca sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thecla badaca is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (13 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.