What are the chances of seeing a Thecla cestri in São Paulo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla cestri sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 273rd most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thecla cestri in São Paulo?
January and October–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla cestri in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in February–September and December, the lowest months. Those are among São Paulo's wettest months, with about 160 mm of rain a month against 35 mm in August.
Is São Paulo the best place to see a Thecla cestri?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Thecla cestri sightings, São Paulo has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Mexico City (México, under 5%).
Where does the Thecla cestri sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thecla cestri is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.