What are the chances of seeing a Thecla celmus in São Paulo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla celmus sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 473rd most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thecla celmus in São Paulo?
November and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thecla celmus in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in January to October, the lowest months. Those are among São Paulo's wettest months, with about 160 mm of rain a month against 35 mm in August.
What time of day is best to see a Thecla celmus?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Thecla celmus sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is São Paulo the best place to see a Thecla celmus?
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Thecla celmus sightings, São Paulo ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Recife (Brazil, about 10%).
Where does the Thecla celmus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thecla celmus is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.