What are the chances of seeing an Orache Moth in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orache Moth sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 482nd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orache Moth in Tokyo?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orache Moth in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see an Orache Moth?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Orache Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Tokyo the best place to see an Orache Moth?
9th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Orache Moth sightings, Tokyo ranks 9th at under 5%. The best odds are in Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 20%), Kyiv (Ukraine, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
Where does the Orache Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orache Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (17 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.