Plagiodera versicolora
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Plagiodera versicolora is a species of leaf beetle (subfamily Chrysomelinae) in the genus Plagiodera. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Willow Leaf Beetle sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 40 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 284th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Willow Leaf Beetle in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in May–August and October–March, the lowest months.
10th of 21
Of the 21 cities where we can rate Willow Leaf Beetle sightings, Tokyo ranks 10th at under 5%. The best odds are in Sendai (Japan, about 10%), Rotterdam [The Hague] (Netherlands, about 10%) and Boston (United States, about 10%).
Same family: Chrysomelidae
The closest relatives of the Willow Leaf Beetle that you can see in Tokyo (family Chrysomelidae, Leaf Beetles) are Aulacophora nigripennis (about 20%), Lema diversipes (about 20%) and Nepalese Turtle Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Willow Leaf Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (40 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
