Megalopyge defoliata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Megalopyge defoliata is a moth of the Megalopygidae family. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Mexico. The wingspan is 34 mm for males and 50 mm for females. The forewings of the males are brownish grey, with a large white spot at the base, a smaller one at the end of the cell connected with the basal spots by a white line and an outer transverse irregular white band between which and the median nervure the veins are whitish. The fringe is cream color. The hindwings are creamy with the veins and some scales at the base darker. Females are entirely smoky brown with some white scales at the base and near the apex of the forewings. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 62nd most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and November–May, the lowest months. Those are among Toluca's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Megalopyge defoliata sightings, Toluca has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Puebla (México, about 10%) and Mexico City (México, under 5%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Megalopyge defoliata that you can see in Toluca (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Two-Tailed Swallowtail (about 50%), Mourning Cloak (about 40%) and West Coast Lady (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Megalopyge defoliata is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
