What are the chances of seeing a Black-Headed Ash Sawfly in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Headed Ash Sawfly sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1296th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-Headed Ash Sawfly in Toronto?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Headed Ash Sawfly in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Toronto the best place to see a Black-Headed Ash Sawfly?
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Black-Headed Ash Sawfly sightings, Toronto ranks 4th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Boston (United States, under 5%), Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (United States, under 5%) and San Antonio (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Black-Headed Ash Sawfly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Headed Ash Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.