What are the chances of seeing a Blue Admiral in Tuen Mun?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Admiral sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 30 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 152nd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Blue Admiral in Tuen Mun?
November to February
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Admiral in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in June, the lowest month. Those are among Tuen Mun's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 290 mm in June.
What time of day is best to see a Blue Admiral?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blue Admiral sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Tuen Mun the best place to see a Blue Admiral?
12th of 20
Of the 20 cities where we can rate Blue Admiral sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 12th at about 10%. The best odds are in Nanjing (China, about 20%), Nagoya (Japan, about 20%) and Naha (Japan, about 20%).
Where does the Blue Admiral sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blue Admiral is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (30 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.