Syricoris lacunana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Syricoris lacunana, the dark strawberry tortrix, is a small moth species of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic realm. Like its congeners, it is sometimes still placed in the genus Celypha. Junior synonyms of this species are:
The forewings show various shades of gray brown crossed by a few thin irregular silvery lines. The caterpillars can reach a length of about 15 millimetres (0.59 in) and are coloured brown to dark brown... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 3 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 7 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 8 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 9 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 10 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Common Marble sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 352nd most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Marble in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months. That is one of Warsaw's wettest months, with about 75 mm of rain against 40 mm in February.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Common Marble sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
13th of 22
Of the 22 cities where we can rate Common Marble sightings, Warsaw ranks 13th at under 5%. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, about 10%), Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Common Marble is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
