Agrotis porphyricollis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Agrotis porphyricollis (variable cutworm) is a noctuid moth. It is found in Tasmania, Victoria and New South Wales. The wingspan is about 30 mm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Otway National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Cutworm sighting in Great Otway National Park on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 107th most-seen of the 418 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Cutworm in Great Otway National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June to September, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Cutworm sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Variable Cutworm sightings, Great Otway National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Blue Mountains National Park (Australia, about 10%).
Same genus: Agrotis
The closest relatives of the Variable Cutworm that you can see in Great Otway National Park (genus Agrotis) are Bogong Moth (about 20%) and Brown Cutworm (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Cutworm is recorded against all the insects logged in Great Otway National Park (22 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
