Cerma cerintha
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Cerma cerintha, the tufted bird dropping moth, is an owlet moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Georg Friedrich Treitschke in 1826. The MONA or Hodges number for Cerma cerintha is 9062. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sighting in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 441st most-seen of the 822 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Great Smoky Mountains National Park, in our data
Great Smoky Mountains National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth that you can see in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Beautiful Wood-Nymph (about 20%), Hebrew Moth (about 10%) and American Dagger (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (10 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
