What are the chances of seeing a Grey Kestrel in Ngorongoro Conservation Area?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Grey Kestrel sighting in Ngorongoro Conservation Area on a given day, based on 23 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 400th most-seen of the 519 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to under 5%, and over a week to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Grey Kestrel in Ngorongoro Conservation Area?
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Grey Kestrel in Ngorongoro Conservation Area on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Grey Kestrel?
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Grey Kestrel sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Ngorongoro Conservation Area the best place to see a Grey Kestrel?
16th of 18
Of the 18 parks where we can rate Grey Kestrel sightings, Ngorongoro Conservation Area ranks 16th at under 5%. The best odds are in Murchison Falls National Park (Uganda, about 50%), Niokolo-Koba National Park (Senegal, about 40%) and Ruaha National Park (Tanzania, about 40%). All parks ranked.
Which relatives of the Grey Kestrel live in Ngorongoro Conservation Area?
Same genus: Falco
The closest relatives of the Grey Kestrel that you can see in Ngorongoro Conservation Area (genus Falco, Typical Falcons) are Lesser Kestrel (about 10%) and Lanner Falcon (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Grey Kestrel sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Grey Kestrel is recorded against all the birds logged in Ngorongoro Conservation Area (23 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.