Conistra erythrocephala
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Conistra erythrocephala, the red-headed chestnut, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is distributed in central and southern Europe and is recorded from Asia Minor, (Amasia). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain |
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Headed Chestnut sighting in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 528th most-seen of the 597 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February to April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Headed Chestnut in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, against under 5% in May to January, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Red-Headed Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Only Sierra de Guadarrama National Park, in our data
Sierra de Guadarrama National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Red-Headed Chestnut sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Red-Headed Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
