Tethea ocularis
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Tethea ocularis, the figure of eighty, is a moth of the family Drepanidae. The species was first described by Carl Linnaeus in his 1767 12th edition of Systema Naturae. It is found throughout Continental Europe and has a scattered distribution in England and Wales, although it is absent from Scotland and Ireland.
The wingspan is 35–45 mm; the dark brown forewings being marked with dark-centred white stigmata which do look rather like the number 80. The hindwings are grey. The species flies from May to July[1] and is attracted to light and sugar.
The grey and white larva feeds on poplar and aspen. The species overwinters as a pupa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Figure Of Eighty sighting in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, based on 15 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 211th most-seen of the 479 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Figure Of Eighty in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–March, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Figure Of Eighty sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Figure Of Eighty sightings, Sierra Nevada National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Pyrénées National Park (France, under 5%) and Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Figure Of Eighty is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra Nevada National Park (15 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
