Mythimna straminea
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Mythimna straminea, the southern wainscot, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Georg Friedrich Treitschke in 1825. It is found in the western parts of the Palearctic realm, including Morocco, Europe, Turkey, the Caucasus, Israel, and Lebanon.
The wingspan is 32 to 40 millimetres (1.3 to 1.6 in). Forewing pale ochreous with slight dark dusting and a faint reddish tinge; veins finely defined by brown streaks, which are also distinct in the intervals; a diffuse brown shade below median vein; outer dots on veins 2 and 5 only; hindwing whitish ochreous, grey tinged along middle from base, with a postmedian line of dark grey dashes on veins.
Three distinct aberrations are mentioned by Tutt, all apparently British; obsoleta Tutt, a very rare pale form, with all the dots of forewing absent, the median nervure pure white, and the hindwing white without dots; in rufolinea Tutt the colouration is bright rufous, so that the forewing appears to consist of alternate fine lines of red and white; lastly in nigrostriata Tutt the colouration is blackish, the wing appearing to be a succession of black and white lines; the shade... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Wainscot sighting in Wadden Sea National Park on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 234th most-seen of the 818 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Wainscot in Wadden Sea National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Southern Wainscot sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Only Wadden Sea National Park, in our data
Wadden Sea National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Southern Wainscot sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same genus: Mythimna
The closest relatives of the Southern Wainscot that you can see in Wadden Sea National Park (genus Mythimna) are The Clay (about 10%), Common Wainscot (about 10%) and Smoky Wainscot (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Wainscot is recorded against all the insects logged in Wadden Sea National Park (26 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
