Simplicia cornicalis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Simplicia cornicalis is a litter moth of the family Erebidae. The species was first described by Johan Christian Fabricius in 1794. It is found in south-eastern Asia and the Pacific. Records include New Caledonia, Réunion, Thailand, Fiji, Hawaii, India, Sri Lanka, the Society Islands, as well as New South Wales and Queensland in Australia. It is an introduced species in southern Florida and Louisiana in the United States. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lamington National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Daintree National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 3 | Springbrook National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 4 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Simplicia cornicalis sighting in Blue Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 359th most-seen of the 789 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February–May and September–October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Simplicia cornicalis in Blue Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June–August and November–January, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Simplicia cornicalis sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Simplicia cornicalis sightings, Blue Mountains National Park ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Lamington National Park (Australia, about 10%), Daintree National Park (Australia, about 10%) and Springbrook National Park (Australia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Simplicia cornicalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Blue Mountains National Park (12 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
