Scopula submutata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Scopula submutata, the Mediterranean lace border, is a moth of the family Geometridae. It is found in southern Europe, North Africa and the Near East. The habitat consists of open, dry grassland and rocky slopes. The wingspan is 20–25 millimetres (0.79–0.98 in). There are two generations per year, with adults on wing from May to October.
The larvae feed on Thymus species and Origanum vulgare. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula submutata sighting in Cévennes National Park on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 437th most-seen of the 996 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula submutata in Cévennes National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September to May, the lowest months. Those are among Cévennes National Park's driest months, with about 60 mm of rain a month against 260 mm in October.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Scopula submutata sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Scopula submutata sightings, Cévennes National Park ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Sierra Nevada National Park (Spain, about 10%) and Doñana National Park (Spain, about 10%).
Same genus: Scopula
The closest relatives of the Scopula submutata that you can see in Cévennes National Park (genus Scopula) are Lace Border (about 10%), Mullein Wave (about 10%) and Small Blood-Vein (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scopula submutata is recorded against all the insects logged in Cévennes National Park (16 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
