Damora pandora
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiskunság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 2 | Hortobágy National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 3 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cardinal Butterfly sighting in Almaty on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 68th most-seen of the 83 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cardinal Butterfly in Almaty on a given day, against under 5% in August and October–June, the lowest months. That is one of Almaty's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 75 mm in April.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cardinal Butterfly sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
8th of 8
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Cardinal Butterfly sightings, Almaty ranks 8th at about 10%. The best odds are in Yerevan (Armenia, about 30%), Budapest (Hungary, about 30%) and Ankara (Turkey, about 20%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Cardinal Butterfly that you can see in Almaty (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Small Tortoiseshell (about 10%), European Peacock Butterfly (about 10%) and Painted Lady (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cardinal Butterfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Almaty (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
