Melitta nigricans
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Blackish Blunt-Horn sighting in Berlin on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 949th most-seen of the 1065 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blackish Blunt-Horn in Berlin on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Blackish Blunt-Horn sightings, Berlin ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Warsaw (Poland, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blackish Blunt-Horn is recorded against all the insects logged in Berlin (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
