What are the chances of seeing a Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn in Berlin?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn sighting in Berlin on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 646th most-seen of the 1065 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn in Berlin?
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn in Berlin on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months.
Is Berlin the best place to see a Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn?
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn sightings, Berlin ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Hamburg (Germany, about 10%) and London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Where does the Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Golden-Tailed Blunt-Horn is recorded against all the insects logged in Berlin (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.