Laspeyria flexula
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Laspeyria flexula, the beautiful hook-tip, is a moth of the family Erebidae. The species was first described by Michael Denis and Ignaz Schiffermüller in 1775. It is found in the Palearctic realm. The wingspan is 23–27 mm. The moth flies from May to June depending on the location.
The larvae feed on willow and Populus tremula (aspen). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 6 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 9 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Beautiful Hook-Tip sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 289th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Beautiful Hook-Tip in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Beautiful Hook-Tip sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Beautiful Hook-Tip sightings, Birmingham ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), Essen (Germany, about 10%) and Berlin (Germany, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Beautiful Hook-Tip that you can see in Birmingham (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Cinnabar Moth (about 30%), Scarlet Tiger (about 30%) and Rusty Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Beautiful Hook-Tip is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
