Phragmatobia fuliginosa
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Phragmatobia fuliginosa, the ruby tiger, is a moth of the family Erebidae. It is present in most of Europe, in North Africa, Russia, Central Asia, Tibet, and in northern areas of North America. This species inhabits moist open forest and meadow areas, mixed hardwood forests at low elevations, open meadows or prairies and in agricultural areas at low elevations. It is common on low-growing plants, on high-roads... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biebrza National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 2 | Białowieża National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 3 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Picos de Europa National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 7 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 9 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 11 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 12 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 13 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 14 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Turin | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 6 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 8 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 10 | Cologne | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ruby Tiger Moth sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 46 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 178th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Ruby Tiger Moth in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in June, September and December–February, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Ruby Tiger Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
3rd of 31
Of the 31 cities where we can rate Ruby Tiger Moth sightings, Birmingham ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Porto (Portugal, about 20%) and Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Ruby Tiger Moth that you can see in Birmingham (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Cinnabar Moth (about 30%), Scarlet Tiger (about 30%) and Rusty Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ruby Tiger Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (46 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
