What are the chances of seeing an Argyria nivalis in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Argyria nivalis sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 67 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 230th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Argyria nivalis in Chicago?
June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Argyria nivalis in Chicago on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–May, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see an Argyria nivalis?
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Argyria nivalis sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Chicago the best place to see an Argyria nivalis?
6th of 11
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Argyria nivalis sightings, Chicago ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Austin (United States, about 10%), Baltimore (United States, about 10%) and Dallas (United States, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Argyria nivalis live in Chicago?
Same family: Crambidae
The closest relatives of the Argyria nivalis that you can see in Chicago (family Crambidae, Crambid Snout Moths) are Celery Leaftier Moth (about 10%), Lucerne Moth (about 10%) and Elegant Grass-Veneer (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Argyria nivalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Argyria nivalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (67 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.