What are the chances of seeing a Yellow-Banded Underwing in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Yellow-Banded Underwing sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 21 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 438th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Yellow-Banded Underwing in Chicago?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Yellow-Banded Underwing in Chicago on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Yellow-Banded Underwing?
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Yellow-Banded Underwing sightings, Chicago ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Montreal (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Yellow-Banded Underwing sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Yellow-Banded Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (21 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.