What are the chances of seeing a Mother Underwing Moth in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mother Underwing Moth sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 41 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 303rd most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Mother Underwing Moth in Chicago?
August and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mother Underwing Moth in Chicago on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Mother Underwing Moth?
Among the best
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Mother Underwing Moth sightings, Chicago ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Mother Underwing Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mother Underwing Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (41 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.