What are the chances of seeing a Little Underwing in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Little Underwing sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 50 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 252nd most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Little Underwing in Chicago?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Little Underwing in Chicago on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Little Underwing?
Among the best
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Little Underwing sightings, Chicago ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Detroit (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Little Underwing sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Little Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (50 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.