Nacerdes carniolica
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica sighting in Cologne on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 174th most-seen of the 235 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nacerdes carniolica in Cologne on a given day, against under 5% in September to May, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Nacerdes carniolica sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
2nd of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Nacerdes carniolica sightings, Cologne ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Essen (Germany, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nacerdes carniolica is recorded against all the insects logged in Cologne (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
