Halyzia sedecimguttata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Halyzia sedecimguttata, the orange ladybird, is a species of Coccinellidae (ladybirds) family. Halyzia sedecimguttata is common in Europe, European Russia, the Caucasus, Siberia, the Russian Far East, Belarus, Ukraine, Transcaucasia, Kazakhstan, Asia Minor, Mongolia, Northern China, Japan.
It was formerly uncommon in the Ireland and Britain but the species has established itself over the 20th-century and it is now common in many parts. Common in woodlands, it is more frequent in dry areas, mainly in deciduous woodland (Western European broadleaf forests, Palearctic temperate broadleaf and mixed forest) and in parkland, at forest edges, and on hedges.
Halyzia sedecimguttata can reach a length of 5–6 millimetres (0.20–0.24 in). These beetles have an oval shaped body, rather round than elongated. Compound eyes are black. The antennae are light-brown, quite long and slightly thickened at the end. Their physical appearance is marked by a striking orange colour and the presence of 16 (sometimes less) creamy white large spots on the elytra (eight spots on each elytron). The neck shield usually covers the head and shows orange colored spots... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Vanoise National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Mercantour National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 8 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 4 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 6 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 9 | Novosibirsk | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 10 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Ladybird sighting in Cologne on a given day, based on 25 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 37th most-seen of the 235 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Ladybird in Cologne on a given day, against under 5% in April, the lowest month.
Between 2 and 5 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Orange Ladybird sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
11th of 30
Of the 30 cities where we can rate Orange Ladybird sightings, Cologne ranks 11th at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%), London (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Nizhny Novgorod (Russia, about 10%).
Same family: Coccinellidae
The closest relatives of the Orange Ladybird that you can see in Cologne (family Coccinellidae, Lady Beetles) are Asian Lady Beetle (about 30%), Seven-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 20%) and Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange Ladybird is recorded against all the insects logged in Cologne (25 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
