Mesoligia furuncula
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Mesoligia furuncula, the cloaked minor, is a moth of the family Noctuoidea. It is found in the Palearctic realm (Europe, northwest Africa, Russia, Siberia, Japan, north Iran, Afghanistan, and China (Qinghai and Shaanxi). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Kharkiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 6 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Novosibirsk | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 10 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cloaked Minor sighting in London on a given day, based on 219 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 217th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cloaked Minor in London on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cloaked Minor sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
3rd of 18
Of the 18 cities where we can rate Cloaked Minor sightings, London ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 10%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Cloaked Minor that you can see in London (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Large Yellow Underwing (about 30%), Heart And Dart (about 20%) and Shuttle-Shaped Dart (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cloaked Minor is recorded against all the insects logged in London (219 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
