What are the chances of seeing a Shuttle-Shaped Dart in Manchester?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Shuttle-Shaped Dart sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 32 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 140th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Shuttle-Shaped Dart in Manchester?
April–May and July–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Shuttle-Shaped Dart in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in June and October–March, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Shuttle-Shaped Dart?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Shuttle-Shaped Dart sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Shuttle-Shaped Dart?
5th of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Shuttle-Shaped Dart sightings, Manchester ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 40%), London (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Where does the Shuttle-Shaped Dart sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Shuttle-Shaped Dart is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (32 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.