What are the chances of seeing a True Lover's Knot in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a True Lover's Knot sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a True Lover's Knot in Manchester?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a True Lover's Knot in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a True Lover's Knot?
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most True Lover's Knot sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a True Lover's Knot?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate True Lover's Knot sightings, Manchester has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Hamburg (Germany, under 5%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Which relatives of the True Lover's Knot live in Manchester?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the True Lover's Knot that you can see in Manchester (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Large Yellow Underwing (about 30%), Angle Shades (about 20%) and Silver Υ (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the True Lover's Knot sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the True Lover's Knot is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.