What are the chances of seeing a Tasmanian Cutworm in Melbourne?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tasmanian Cutworm sighting in Melbourne on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 465th most-seen of the 875 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Tasmanian Cutworm in Melbourne?
April and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tasmanian Cutworm in Melbourne on a given day, against under 5% in June to March, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Tasmanian Cutworm?
Between 6 and 9 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Tasmanian Cutworm sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see a Tasmanian Cutworm?
Only Melbourne, in our data
Melbourne is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Tasmanian Cutworm sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Tasmanian Cutworm live in Melbourne?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Tasmanian Cutworm that you can see in Melbourne (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Bogong Moth (about 20%), Australian Grapevine Moth (about 10%) and Brown Cutworm (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Tasmanian Cutworm sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tasmanian Cutworm is recorded against all the insects logged in Melbourne (22 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.