Nephelodes minians
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Nephelodes minians, the bronzed cutworm or shaded umber moth, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of North America, except Florida and adjacent states. This wingspan is about 40 mm. The moth flies from July to October depending on the location.
The larva feeds on various grasses, including cereal crops and corn. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Denver | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Salt Lake City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bronzed Cutworm Moth sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 42 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 183rd most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bronzed Cutworm Moth in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in June–August and October–April, the lowest months. Those are among Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Bronzed Cutworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Among the best
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Bronzed Cutworm Moth sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Edmonton (Canada, about 10%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Bronzed Cutworm Moth that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are American Dagger (about 10%), American Copper Underwing (about 10%) and Celery Looper Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bronzed Cutworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (42 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
